Projected rankings
The model's call on next season, ranked. These are projections — the other tools on this site run on last season's actual numbers; this page is what our backtested model expects for next season.
What this model does and doesn't know
Knows: three seasons of per-game production, blended and shrunk toward league averages (small samples get trusted less), with age adjustments fitted from the data. Verified against a held-out season before anything shipped — see methodology.
Doesn't know (yet): rookies with no NBA games, and this summer's trades and role changes beyond our manual minutes adjustments. Availability is shown (projected games), not baked into per-game value. Treat close neighbors as ties, not truth.
More tools: keeper calculator · player compare · auction values · pick value chart